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To Transition to Net Zero, Model the Alternative

It can be tempting for managers to try to delay their organization’s transition to net-zero carbon emissions until they have greater certainty about the financial cost. But how can they evaluate the true cost of delaying a transition to net zero when there are so many huge unknowns? The authors suggest that focusing on three key scenarios — the worst case, the best case, and a middle ground between the two — can generate practical insights into the wide range of possible outcomes.

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